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[Thai Economics Library | Archives| Currency Crisis 2007| Entrepreneurs]
May 19, 2008

Thai tapioca exports threatened by rush to biofuel

By Jon Fernquest

tapiocaTapioca is a proven export crop in Thailand. This crop generates over 70 billion baht per year in export revenue for Thailand after being processed into different forms such as flour, starch, pellets and chips. Cassava offers farmers profit margins just as good as maize and rice. After production costs of 1.20 baht a kilogramme, cassava can be sold for more than two baht.

The price and quantity of tapioca exports is variable depending on such factors as EU grain prices, exchange rates and transport costs. Currently, the European Union (EU) purchases around 5.25 million tonnes each year. Tapioca chips exports to China rose to a whopping 3.9 million tonnes in 2006 after duties were reduced under the Thailand-China free trade agreement. Each year 1.5 million tonnes of chips are also used within Thailand for animal feed.

The roots of the Cassava plant have long been used to make tapioca. Recently, Cassava roots have also become a promising biofuel crop used to make ethanol. Excessive support for biofuels by government policy may harm established agricultural export commodities like tapioca by causing rising prices and shortages. Chen Wongboonsin, president of the Thai Tapioca Trade Association and senior assistant managing director of STC Tapioca Group, has urged policy makers: "Let the market run freely and ethanol producers have to race for supplies the same as other manufacturers do."

Only one ethanol plant is currently operating, with a demand of 500,000 tonnes of cassava per year, but at least 25 ethanol plants are scheduled to open in the next few years mostly in the Northeast, Thailand's main cassava growing area.

The breakeven point for using cassava roots in ethanol production is 1.5 baht per kilogramme, but recently cassava prices have risen to as much as 2.00 to 2.60 baht per kilogramme. This has driven the price of ethanol in Thailand up to 21-22 baht per liter, far above the 17 baht per liter charged in Brazil, which has become a world benchmark that ethanol producers measure themselves by.

New and better varieties of tapioca have been developed for decades so they are available and can be used by farmers in Thailand. There is no guarantee that farmers will grow these higher quality varieties and grow them in the proper way. Registeration and monitoring of farmers is one way to make sure that the proper varieties are being grown in the proper way.

The KU50 and Rayong 5 varieties of cassava are the most prevalent in Thailand (according to a Kasetsart University report) and with proper soil and planting duration, yields as high as 5.38 and 4.98 tonnes per rai have been achieved in experimental trials.

Another problem area is premature harvesting (digging young roots). The roots of the Cassava have to be left to grow for at least 10 months to provide high starch content. Monitoring is also essential here too. Plans were made last month by the cabinet to boost cassava productivity from one to 4.7 tonnes per rai over the next five years while keeping the land used for cassava to 7.4 million rai. A budget of 10 billion baht over 12 years has been allocated to increase yields of cassava, sugarcane, and palm.

Read a previous article about the Isan windfall in biofuel crops. Recently, the internet has been abuzz with talk of a possible bubble in commodities markets. Read a Wall Street journal articles on research into a possible bubble in the commodities markets.

(Source: Bangkok Post, business, 14-05-08, WALAILAK KEERATIPIPATPONG, temp-link)


Vocabulary:

tapioca - a flavorless starchy ingredient used in cooking, produced from dried cassava root, used to make a milky pudding eaten for dessert (See wikipedia) มันสำปะหลัง

starch - a thick substance, thicker than a liquid แป้ง

pellets - a small round ball, like dog food [Thai: met] ก้อนกลมเล็กๆ

chips - a small piece of something ชิ้นส่วนเล็กๆ

profit margins - the profit being made on sales (can be seen as a percentage of each sale) กำไร

maize - corn ข้าวโพด

whopping - very large พุ่งสูงขึ้น

biofuel crop - a crop mixed with gasoline to reduce oil usage พืชที่ใช้สำหรับผลิตน้ำมันไบโอดีเซล

excessive - too much มากเกินไป

established - has existed for a long time (generally approved, officially recognised) ก่อตั้ง จัดตั้ง

urged - try hard to persuade someone to do something วิงวอน

the breakeven point - the point at which you start making a profit, no longer losing money ระยะคืนทุน

a benchmark - a standard that everyone can measure themselves by (and compare themselves to others with) มาตรฐาน

guarantee - a promise that something will happen (See glossary) รับรอง

registration - recording in an official list การจดทะเบียน ขึ้นทะเบียน

monitoring - regularly checking something จับตามอง

most prevalent - used most often, found most often ที่พบบ่อยที่สุด

experimental trials - tests by agricultural researchers (probably at universities) การทดลอง การวิจัยทางการเกษตร

premature - before the right time to do it ก่อนเวลาอันควร

allocated - a share or part of something given to someone, or assigned to be used for something จัดสรร

a bubble, an asset price bubble - asset prices rise to unreasonably high levels given true asset values, investors make a lot of money, and are very enthusiastic about the market, then one day asset prices suddenly drop (the crash), investors lose a lot of money as well as their enthusiasm for the market, besides causing market instability, bubbles also have a negative effect on economies because they temporarily misallocate funds into non-optimal uses and then quickly pull them out (See glossary)

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